With the Golden Globe nominations coming up in a couple of weeks, it seems appropriate to take a stab at some nomination predictions, as well as make fun of how ridiculous and predictable it is. The Globes love star power and do not care about reviews. If Meryl Streep, Robert Downey Jr., Julia Roberts, Tom Hanks, Will Smith, etc. are in a movie or Clint Eastwood, Martin Scorsese, Steven Spielberg, etc. direct a movie, then that is normally enough for the Hollywood Foreign Press Association to give it massive Globes love. So, I will predict the categories (even the TV ones for fun), and then I will make a lineup of what the HFPA would do if they would indulge themselves in their shameless star power-hungry voting. For most of these, I will maintain some sense of legitimacy, though. I mean, if they had their choice, Al Pacino would be nominated for Jack and Jill, so I will keep it at least somewhat tame. Here it goes with the TV stuff, followed by most of the film categories:
(winners in Italics)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION SERIES, MINISERIES, OR TV MOVIE
Jane Lynch – Glee
Margo Martindale – Justified
Sofia Vergara – Modern Family
Betty White – Hot in Cleveland
Evan Rachel Wood – Mildred Pierce
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES, MINISERIES, OR TV MOVIE
Ty Burrell – Modern Family
Peter Dinklage – Game of Thrones
Paul Giamatti – Too Big to Fail
Guy Pearce – Mildred Pierce
Edward James Olmos – Dexter
BEST ACTRESS IN A MINISERIES OR TV MOVIE
Taraji P. Henson – Taken From Me: The Tiffany Rubin Story
Katie Holmes – The Kennedys
Elizabeth McGovern – Downton Abbey
Rachel Weisz – Page Eight
Kate Winslet – Mildred Pierce
BEST ACTOR IN A MINISERIES OR TV MOVIE
Idris Elba – Luther
Ethan Hawke – Moby Dick
William Hurt – Moby Dick
Greg Kinnear – The Kennedys
Barry Pepper – The Kennedys
BEST MINISERIES OR TELEVISION MOVIE
Downton Abbey
The Kennedys
Mildred Pierce
Page Eight
Too Big to Fail
BEST ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION SERIES – COMEDY/MUSICAL
Christina Applegate – Up All Night
Zooey Deschanel – New Girl
Edie Falco – Nurse Jackie
Tina Fey – 30 Rock
Melissa McCarthy – Mike & Molly
BEST ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES – COMEDY/MUSICAL
Alec Baldwin – 30 Rock
Steve Carell – The Office
Ashton Kutcher – Two and a Half Men
Matt LeBlanc – Episodes
Jim Parsons – The Big Bang Theory
BEST TELEVISION SERIES – COMEDY/MUSICAL
30 Rock
The Big Bang Theory
Glee
Modern Family
New Girl
BEST ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA
Maria Bello – Prime Suspect
Claire Danes – Homeland
Julianna Margulies – The Good Wife
Anna Paquin – True Blood
Katey Sagal – Sons of Anarchy
BEST ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA
Steve Buscemi – Boardwalk Empire
Bryan Cranston – Breaking Bad
Michael C. Hall – Dexter
Sean Bean – Game of Thrones
Timothy Olyphant – Justified
BEST TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA
Boardwalk Empire
Dexter
Game of Thrones
The Good Wife
The Killing
BEST ANIMATED FILM
The Adventures of Tintin
Cars 2
Puss in Boots
Rango
Winnie the Pooh
Explanation: This one just comes down to the fact that Johnny Depp is the voice of one of the characters. Rango takes this in a route.
BEST SCREENPLAY – MOTION PICTURE
Bridesmaids
The Descendants
The Ides of March
Midnight in Paris
Tinker, Tailor Soldier Spy
Explanation: This is always difficult because there is always a screwdriver thrown in there, like It’s Complicated in 2009. This is as close as I could come, yet I still had to leave out Moneyball, which took the New York Film Critics award and most of the likely Best Picture nominees.
BEST DIRECTOR – MOTION PICTURE
David Fincher – The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Michel Hazanavicius – The Artist
Terrence Malick – The Tree of Life
Martin Scorsese – Hugo
Steven Spielberg – War Horse
Explanation: The Globes love their big name directors, and that is reflected here. This is a very safe, unexciting list, actually.
The HFPA Dream Lineup:
Woody Allen – Midnight in Paris
Clint Eastwood – J. Edgar
Angelina Jolie – In the Land of Blood and Honey
Martin Scorsese – Hugo
Steven Spielberg – War Horse
BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE
Sandra Bullock – Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
Marion Cotillard – Midnight in Paris
Jessica Chastain – The Help
Melissa McCarthy – Bridesmaids
Octavia Spencer – The Help
Explanation: The Globes love Sandra Bullock and fluff box office hits like The Help. Since McCarthy is probably winning her TV category, I doubt she will take this too.
The HFPA Dream Lineup:
Sandra Bullock – Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
Scarlett Johnansson – We Bought a Zoo
Melissa McCarthy – Bridesmaids
Gwyneth Paltrow – Contagion
Natalie Portman – Your Highness
BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE
Kenneth Branagh – My Week with Marilyn
Albert Brooks – Drive
Brad Pitt – The Tree of Life
Viggo Mortensen – A Dangerous Method
Christopher Plummer – Beginners
Explanation: The HFPA cannot get enough of Hollywood’s Golden Couple, so Pitt is almost a shoo-in here. They also like their veteran and European actors. I am really confident in this group.
The HFPA Dream Lineup:
Sasha Baron Cohen – Hugo
George Clooney – The Ides of March
Tom Hanks – Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
Jonah Hill – Moneyball
Brad Pitt – The Tree of Life
BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE – COMEDY/MUSICAL
Cameron Diaz – Bad Teacher
Julianne Moore – Crazy Stupid Love
Kirsten Wiig – Bridesmaids
Michelle Williams – My Week with Marilyn
Kate Winslet – Carnage
Explanation: There is a lot of star power in this group, and I kept it somewhat realistic. I have a feeling that someone from The Artist will sneak in or maybe something random like Amy Adams for The Muppets, but I just do not know who to take out.
The HFPA Dream Lineup:
Cameron Diaz – Bad Teacher
Jodie Foster – Carnage
Julia Roberts – Larry Crowne
Kristen Wiig – Bridesmaids
Kate Winslet – Carnage
BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE – COMEDY/MUSICAL
Matt Damon – We Bought a Zoo
Johnny Depp – The Rum Diary
Jean Dujardin – The Artist
Tom Hanks – Larry Crowne
Owen Wilson – Midnight in Paris
Explanation: This is one of the categories where the Globes get really stupid. This is a fairly strong mix of their ridiculousness and realistic predictions. I feel like Wilson, Dujardin, and Damon are locks for this category, and the other two could be any mix of superstar actors.
The HFPA Dream Lineup:
Jim Carrey – Mr. Popper’s Penguins
Johnny Depp – Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides
Johnny Depp – The Rum Diary
Johnny Depp – Rango
Robert Downey Jr. – Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows
Tom Hanks – Larry Crowne
BEST MOTION PICTURE – COMEDY/MUSICAL
The Artist
Bridesmaids
Carnage
Midnight in Paris
The Muppets
Explanation: For this category, the Globes are most unpredictable. Last year, it included The Tourist, Red, and Burlesque. Yeah, this is just a wild guess.
The HFPA Dream Lineup:
Bridesmaids
Glee: The 3D Concert Movie
The Hangover: Part II
Larry Crowne
New Year’s Eve
BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA
Glenn Close – Albert Nobbs
Viola Davis – The Help
Rooney Mara – The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Emma Stone – The Help
Meryl Streep – The Iron Lady
Explanation: Streep is winning, obviously. The others are just fillers. None of them can take it from her.
The HFPA Dream Lineup:
Anne Hathaway – One Day
Zana Marjanovic – In the Land of Blood and Honey
Kristen Stewart – The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn – Part 1
Emma Stone – The Help
Meryl Streep – The Iron Lady
BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA
Antonio Banderas – The Skin I Live In
George Clooney – The Descendants
Leonardo DiCaprio – J. Edgar
Gary Oldman – Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Brad Pitt – Moneyball
Explanation: Four of these choices are obvious. Banderas is really just a stab in the dark. They usually love Almodovar movies, and Banderas seems to have the international star power that they usually like to incorporate into theirlineups. It’s a pretty solid group nonetheless.
The HFPA Dream Lineup:
George Clooney – The Descendants
Daniel Craig – The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Leonardo DiCaprio – J. Edgar
Brad Pitt – Moneyball
Justin Timberlake – In Time
BEST MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA
A Dangerous Method
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
The Help
Hugo
War Horse
Explanation: This is a tough category this year. There are movies made by the most popular directors in the world. There are films like The Help that made unbelievable amounts of money at the box office, something that the Globes love to see. Then there is A Dangerous Method, which is a Cronenberg movie, whose last two films inexplicably got nominated in this category after almost no precursors. This is as close as I can come to figuring this out.
The HFPA Dream Lineup:
Hugo
The Ides of March
In the Land of Blood and Honey
J. Edgar
War Horse
So, what do you think? Am I missing any other big name actor that the HFPA loves? Let me know what you think or post your own in the comments.
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